OSINTSUM: Monday 10 June 2024

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OSINTSUM
Global Situation Update
Monday 10 June 2024

Africa

Central African Republic: The government of the Central African Republic has suspended the operations of Daqing SARL, a Chinese mining company, over accusations it has been cooperating with armed militias in the country.
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Sudan: The UN International Organisation for Migration estimates that the number of internally displaced people (IDPs) in Sudan due to the country’s civil war could soon exceed 10 million, with 9.9 million IDPs recorded this week compared to 2.8 million prior to the outbreak of the conflict.
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Tunisia: The UN International Organisation for Migration estimates between 15,000 and 20,000 migrants are stranded in the countryside near the central Tunisian coastline as a result of anti-migration policies implemented in both Tunisia and Europe.
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Asia/Oceania

Australia: Australia’s military is facing a recruitment crisis, with staffing levels at only 80% of the 69,000 personnel required to meet future challenges. The lack of manpower is being put down to a reluctance by Gen Z to join the military.
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New Zealand: China's Premier Li Qiang will visit New Zealand this week, in the first trip to the nation in seven years by a Chinese premier.
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North Korea: North Korea has sent another 310 balloons filled with trash into South Korea in retaliation for conducting leaflet drops and using loudspeakers to broadcast into its territory, which in itself was a retaliation for a previous trash-balloon campaign by North Korea.
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South China Sea: China’s Vice Foreign Minister Sun Weidong accused the US of posing the largest security challenge in the South China Sea, accusing it of stoking a “military arms race” by deploying its military in the region.
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South Korea: South Korea and the US are holding talks in Seoul today aimed at improving the coordination of an allied nuclear response in the event of a war with North Korea. The third meeting of the Nuclear Consultative Group is following up on last year’s summit, where the US promised to give South Korea enhanced insight into its nuclear planning for a conflict with the North.
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Europe

Armenia: Thousands of people demonstrated in Yerevan yesterday after Archbishop Bagrat Galstanyan called for four days of protest against Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan and urged parliament to hold a special session tomorrow to remove the government.
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Belgium: Belgium is heading for a new government after a general election in which an expected surge for the far right party Vlaams Belang failed to materialise and the outgoing governing coalition headed by liberal Prime Minister Alexander De Croo lost its ability to form a majority.
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EU: The European Commission is expected to disclose the tariffs it will apply to Chinese electric vehicles (EVs) in response to what it claims are excessive subsidies in a move likely to prompt a stern response from Beijing. It is likely the tariffs will be significantly lower than the 100% duties the US applied to Chinese EV’s last month.
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France: President Emmanuel Macron has called a snap election after losing significant ground to the far-right in yesterday’s European Parliament elections in a move that could neuter his presidency three years before the end of his term.
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Hungary: Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban's Fidesz party won 44.2% of the vote in yesterday’s European Parliament elections, which was its worst result in almost 20 years. Newcomer Peter Magyar’s Tisza party came second with 30% of the vote.
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Israel/Hamas

Colombia: President Gustavo Petro posted on social media that Colombia will halt coal exports to Israel in response to its military activities in Gaza, which Petro described as “genocide”.
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Israel: Minister Benny Gantz has resigned from Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s emergency government, withdrawing the only centrist power in the far-right coalition government. He criticised Netanyahu for what he described as his failings over the Gaza offensive, and called for early elections.
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UN: The UN will include the Israel Defence Forces, Hamas, and Palestinian Islamic Jihad to a global list of entities accused of committing violations against children when the secretary-general’s annual report on children in armed conflict is published later this month.
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US: Secretary of State Antony Blinken is set to visit Egypt and Israel today at as Washington seeks to increase pressure on Hamas and Israel to reach a ceasefire in Gaza and ensure the war does not expand into Lebanon.
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Middle East

Iran: Iran has approved a list of six candidates, almost all of whom are conservative, to run in the 28 June presidential election which will determine the replacement for Ebrahim Raisi, who died in a helicopter crash last month.
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Yemen: The Houthi militia group damaged two commercial vessels in missile attacks in the Gulf of Aden in the last 24 hours, striking the Liberian-flagged and Swiss-owned Tavvishi and the German-owned Norderney cargo ship. No casualties were reported as a result of either strike.
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Russia/Ukraine

G7: Leaders from the Group of Seven nations are to warn smaller Chinese banks to stop assisting Russia in its efforts to evade Western sanctions next week, but will stop short of taking any immediate punitive actions against them.
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Russia: Ukrainian forces have struck a latest-generation Russian Sukhoi Su-57 fighter jet at an airbase inside Russia, according to a post on Telegram by Kyiv’s GUR defence intelligence agency in which it shared satellite pictures it said confirmed the attack.
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Russia: President Vladimir Putin is to visit North Korea and Vietnam in the coming weeks according to state media. Neither country is party to the Rome Statute, meaning the international arrest warrant issued against him by the International Criminal Court for war crimes in Ukraine will not apply.
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Ukraine: US President Joe Biden and France President Emmanuel Macron have reached an agreement on the use of the $3bn annual profits from frozen Russian assets to provide aid to Ukraine.
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Ukraine: Russia’s offensive in the Kharkiv Oblast is losing momentum and has “stalled out” as Ukraine strikes targets across the border using US-provided weapons according to US National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan.
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US/Canada

Canada: A man of Indian origin has been shot dead in Surrey, Canada, in what authorities suspect was a targeted shooting. Four suspects, Manvir Basram, Sahib Basra, Harkirat Jhutty, and Keilon Francois, have been arrested over the murder of Yuvraj Goyal, who arrived in Canada in 2018 and had no criminal record.
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